Assad is Winning Syrian Civil War


Bashar & Asma Assad voting 6-3-14

Bashar & Asma Assad voting 6-3-14

Assad is Winning Syrian Civil War

I.E. if Times of Israel Source is Accurate

 

John R. Houk

© June 6, 2014

 

I read in a Times of Israel article today that the government forces of the Shia-Alawite Syrian dictator Bashar Assad has “secured” 70-80% the Iranian client ally Syria. The source of this report is an unnamed Israeli diplomat.  

 

I’ve always had mixed feelings on the civil war in Syria. If you want an example of an Apartheid State one could say Syria fits the bill. The minority Shia-Alawite (A very secretive Shia sect ergo hard to pin down their exact beliefs: See HERE, HERE and HERE) regime ruled the majority Sunni population in Syria. Although the Assad family has ruled Syria prior to the Ayatollah Khomeini’s Iranian revolution, Bashar Assad has cozied up to the Shia-Twelver (See Also HERE and HERE) regime as a client state. This makes Syria a conduit of hate the connection between Iran and Hezbollah (Shia) ruled Lebanon. It is the military aid of Iran and the Hezbollah terrorists that have allowed Assad to survive the Sunni uprising.

 

My initial reaction to the Sunnis revolting against Assad was “fantastic”! The reason I felt that way is that a deposing of Assad would throw a monkey wrench into the geopolitical agenda of Iran to dominate the Middle East.

 

BUT THEN it became apparent the most powerful of the Sunni factions revolting against Assad were the Muslims the West categorizes as followers of Radical Islam which is essentially a politically correct term for Islamic terrorists that hate Jews and America. AND to make things even worse the Islamic terrorist Sunnis were attacking what’s left of an ancient Christian minority in Syria with convert or die ultimatums. In some cases plainly not waiting for a Christian response and simply murdering Christians in a horrific manner.

 

It is evident now that no real change in Syria would occur no matter who won the civil war. Assad’s Syria would remain a Jew-hating and American-hating client State of Iran. OR a Sunni victory would mean a Syrian-Christian genocide added to the mix of Jew-hatred and American-hatred. Assad used Conventional and Chemical Weapons on the Sunnis and the Sunnis butchered Alawite-Shias, Christians and the pseudo-Islamic Druze minority in horrific ways. Both sides of that civil war are guilty of what the West via the old Geneva conventions would call war crimes. But hey, the only reason a Muslim nation participates in the Geneva Conventions anyway is so that there is a flow of commerce between Islamic nations and the West (cough – can you say “oil”?).

 

Honestly as long as Assad sees the Syria-Christians as a political asset and protects them I am at least temporarily leaning toward his side winning. If it wasn’t for the Christians, I could care less who wins that civil war. I only can pray the U.S. Intelligence Community finds a way to exploit the Syrian civil war to the benefit of American National Interests and for the National Interests of the American ally Israel.

 

JRH 6/6/14

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Syria’s Assad has won civil war, Israeli diplomatic official says
Regime has secured ’70-80 percent of essential’ territory in the country and benefits from mass refugee exodus, source says

By MITCH GINSBURG

June 5, 2014, 11:46 pm

Times of Israel

Syrian President Bashar Assad, with Iran’s help, has attained most of the regime’s territorial goals and effectively won the civil war against the Sunni rebel forces, an Israeli diplomatic official told The Times of Israel on Thursday.

 

“Assad has secured 70-80 percent of essential Syria,” the official said, sketching a line from Aleppo in the north down through Hama, Homs, Damascus and the southern areas near Jordan and the city of Dara’a – a Syrian city where the war began and, currently, a channel through which Sunni extremists enter Syria from Jordan.

The capital, too, he said, remains very much in the hands of the regime. “The existential threat on Damascus has been lifted.”

 

Only the Kurdish regions have slipped irretrievably beyond Assad’s control, he added.

 

The official’s depiction of the situation in Syria contradicts an assessment given by a top defense official, who in May told several journalists that Assad’s forces have lost the entire Golan Heights, aside from Quneitra and one enclave, and that, “In Aleppo, in Damascus, in the north near the Turkish border, in the Golan Heights – in all of these places he is losing.”

 

The war in Syria has claimed some 165,000 lives since its outbreak in March 2011 and forced millions of Syrian’s to flee their homes and their country. Lebanon, for instance, has been radically altered by an influx of 1.5 million Syrian refugees who currently constitute 25 percent of the Lebanese population.

 

The diplomatic official said that the Sunni exodus from the country has “changed the demography in Assad’s favor,” and suggested that Assad, who has the support of most of the Druze and Christian minorities in Syria, did relatively poorly in this week’s national election, if one takes into account, among other factors, the nearly seven million displaced people and refugees who were not able to reach the ballot boxes. Assad ostensibly won over 88% of the votes, with more than 10 million in his favor. The official said he did not believe the figures, and also cited a survey suggesting that 88% of the refugees would have voted against him if they’d had the chance.

 

US Secretary of State John Kerry, noting that voting booths were stationed only in government-controlled areas, called the election “a great big zero,” because “you can’t have an election where millions of your people don’t even have an ability to vote.”

 

The Iranian influence in Syria, the Israeli diplomatic official said, was unaltered by President Hassan Rouhani’s rise to power, and a nuclear deal between Iran and the world powers, he added, will only encourage Iran to act more aggressively in pursuit of its goals in Syria.

 

The war effort is largely coordinated by Iranian Revolutionary Guard Corps officers, he said, and carried out by loyalist troops and the 3,000-4,000 Hezbollah guerillas in Syria. A Baseej-like force of citizens loyal to the regime, the National Defense Army, has been established at the local level and is 60,000-people strong.

 

An indication of Hezbollah’s success, he asserted, was not merely the strategic territory held in places like Qusair, but the fact that in Lebanon the dominant concern today is the threat of Sunni jihadist fighters and not Hezbollah’s involvement in the civil war next door.

 

The official alluded to some of the difficult choices made by Hezbollah in recent years – the unpopular decision to fight in Syria, revealing the depth of its ideological ties to Iran and largely forsaking the fight against Israel – and said that while the Shiite terror organization is close to emerging victorious from the conflict, Israel remains very much ambiguous about its goals in the regional war. “We know what we don’t want,” he said, “but not what we do want.”

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Assad is Winning Syrian Civil War

John R. Houk

© June 6, 2014

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Syria’s Assad has won civil war, Israeli diplomatic official says

 

© 2014 The Times of Israel, All rights reserved.

ABOUT THE TIMES OF ISRAEL


The Times of Israel is a Jerusalem-based online newspaper founded in 2012 to document developments in Israel, the Middle East and around the Jewish world.

 

It was established by veteran UK-born, Israeli journalist David Horovitz and his US-based capital partner Seth Klarman. Horovitz is the founding editor, responsible for the site’s editorial content.

 

The Times of Israel has no partisan political affiliation. It seeks to present the news fair-mindedly and offers a wide range of analysis and opinion pieces.

 

We also highlight developments from Jewish communities throughout the Diaspora, and thus serve as a global focal point for the Jewish world – informing and engaging members of the tribe everywhere.

 

We aim for the site to READ THE REST

Be Wary – The Enemy of My Enemy is My Friend


Netanyahu-King Abdullah - Israeli Fighter Jet

John R. Houk

© November 19, 2013

 

Here is an interesting fact about the Quran and the Hadith: Jew-Hatred is encoded as truth in Islam’s holy writings.

 

005.060
YUSUFALI: Say: “Shall I point out to you something much worse than this, (as judged) by the treatment it received from Allah? those who incurred the curse of Allah and His wrath, those of whom some He transformed into apes and swine, those who worshipped evil;- these are (many times) worse in rank, and far more astray from the even path!”

PICKTHAL: Shall I tell thee of a worse (case) than theirs for retribution with Allah? (Worse is the case of him) whom Allah hath cursed, him on whom His wrath hath fallen and of whose sort Allah hath turned some to apes and swine, and who serveth idols. Such are in worse plight and further astray from the plain road.

SHAKIR: Say: Shall I inform you of (him who is) worse than this in retribution from Allah? (Worse is he) whom Allah has cursed and brought His wrath upon, and of whom He made apes and swine, and he who served the Shaitan; these are worse in place and more erring from the straight path. (AL-MAEDA (THE TABLE, THE TABLE SPREAD); Total Verses: 120; Revealed At: MADINA; Quran-USC.edu.org; Center for Muslim-Jewish Engagement)

  

002.096
YUSUFALI: Thou wilt indeed find them, of all people, most greedy of life,-even more than the idolaters: Each one of them wishes He could be given a life of a thousand years: But the grant of such life will not save him from (due) punishment. For Allah sees well all that they do.

PICKTHAL: And thou wilt find them greediest of mankind for life and (greedier) than the idolaters. (Each) one of them would like to be allowed to live a thousand years. And to live (a thousand years) would be no means remove him from the doom. Allah is Seer of what they do.

SHAKIR: And you will most certainly find them the greediest of men for life (greedier) than even those who are polytheists; every one of them loves that he should be granted a life of a thousand years, and his being granted a long life will in no way remove him further off from the chastisement, and Allah sees what they do. (AL-BAQARA (THE COW); Total Verses: 286; Revealed At: MADINA; Ibid.)

 

Narrated Abu Huraira:

Allah’s Apostle said, “The Hour will not be established until you fight with the Jews, and the stone behind which a Jew will be hiding will say. “O Muslim! There is a Jew hiding behind me, so kill him.” (Bukhari :: Book 4 :: Volume 52 :: Hadith 177; Fighting for the Cause of Allah (Jihaad))

 

If you take the time to examine more Quranic suras and the Hadith you will find more encoded Jew-Hatred (AND also Christian-Hatred and general non-Muslim-Hatred). Honestly if you are outside the belief system of Islam, unless you are blind, Islam is as much an ideology as it is a religious guiding principle, perhaps even more so an ideology teaching adherents about a superiority. This is a superiority that says if you not in the club or if you insult the club you are worthy of death or forced humiliating submission.

 

Now I have imposed on your reading time to show you that the principle of the enemy of my enemy is my friend is alive and well. Can you imagine the Jewish State of Israel and the radical Islamic Wahhabist nation of Saudi Arabia are engaged in working out a deal that both nations consider an existential threat?

 

The common enemy is Iran. Yup, that’s right. The same radical Islamic Shia-Twelver nation that President Barack Hussein Obama is about to urge the Senate to approve a deal on drawing back sanctions under the delusion that Iran will slow down nuclear uranium enrichment under the next delusion that Iran will forsake WMD nuclear weaponization.

 

Either Obama is a complete Foreign Policy moron or he is engaged in finding any scenario of chaos to transform the globe (yes including the USA) into a Left Wing pseudo-Marxist New World Order.

 

Obama’s flirtation with Iran has convinced Israel and Saudi Arabia that the U.S. government is no longer dedicated to their actual Middle Eastern allies’ regional security.

 

Jew-Hatred from a nuclear armed Iran could easily lead to a nuclear WMD strike against Israel EVEN THOUGH Israel does have its own nukes to level Iran. The Twelver mentality of Iran’s Mullahs and Ayatollahs will not be deterred by the military doctrine of Mutually Assured Destruction (MAD). In essence the MAD doctrine states that regardless of who pushes buttons to launch nuclear warheads first, the retaliating nuke power will push buttons as well. Meaning that nations engaged in nuclear war will both loose because they will both be destroyed by mutual nuke WMD attacks. Twelvers believe dying in war is glorious and sends one straight to Muslim Paradise.

 

The problem between Saudi Arabia and Iran has its history in the ancient Islamic divide of Sunnis vs. Shias. Sunnis represent roughly 90% of all Islam. Even in that demographic difference both Islamic sects have both declared each other heretics. In the Muslim world heretics are worthy of death. So-called moderate-radical differences make no difference in how to adjudicate a Muslim heretic. It is an offense worthy of death. Wahhabi Clerics have often proclaimed Shia believers kafir. There is a Shia minority in Saudi Peninsula but the aim of Wahhabi fatwas against Shi’ites has a lot to do with a rally cry against the heretics of Iran. So you can see that a nuclear armed Iran is also an existential threat to Saudi Arabia whose Wahhabis consider themselves Sunnis. A large amount of Sunnis have a problem with the medieval puritanical Wahhabis.

 

If Israel and the Saudis cooperate against Iran, I would advise the Israeli government that Saudi Wahhabis are still their enemy and will turn on a dime to betray Israel once (if ever) there is a successful Israel-Saudi neutralization of Iranian regional aspirations.

 

Here is the article that got the old gray matter motivated concerning an Israel-Saudi team against Iran.

 

JRH 11/19/13

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America Might have to use a Little Tweaked MAD on Iran


Nuclear End Times

 

John R. Houk

© January 31, 2011

 

Dina Esfandiary and Harry White are geopolitical experts that focus on security issues such as nuclear proliferation. Esfandiary and White have tagged an article that has appeared in the Australian about their belief that a nuclear armed Iran is inevitable. Their conclusion is based on covert and overt activities have only served to slow down Iran’s nuclear aspirations rather than prevent them.

 

Their solution to a nuclear armed Iran then is not prevention, it is in deterrence. It seems the word “deterrence” is code for the old Cold War strategy between the old USSR and America of Mutually Assured Destruction (MAD). In no place in the article is there is specific to MAD strategy; however check this sentence out:

 

The most obvious answer is deterrence, and probably nuclear deterrence. It will have to be clear to Iran that the consequences of using of nuclear weapons will far outweigh the benefits. Security provided by deterrence is more frightening than security provided by accord, but …”

 

That sounds like MAD strategy to me, how about you?

 

The thing is the threat of MAD strategy with Iran will have to be tweaked if it has any chance of working. The Mullahs of Iran subscribe to a radical theopolitical ideology that proclaims the Twelfth Imam (i.e. the Mahdi) will return soon to begin a global conquest to bring Islam to the world. Politics and theology merge for Iranian Twelver Shi’ites that will bring little fear of reprisal from a nuclear armed kafir nation such as the USA or Israel. Indeed Twelvers believe that the hidden Twelfth Imam needs a little help to reveal his self to lead physical Muslim armies in global conquest. What is that help? Check it out: If a human factor causes global chaos, the Twelfth Imam will appear to set things straight.

 

The only way to tweak a MAD strategy with Iran is to actually utilize a surgical small nuclear attack to show America means business. There is no way Israel could get away with such a notion. The Western armed nuclear powers are too cowardly to sign off on such nuclear surgery. India is capable, but they have their own MAD strategy working between them and Pakistan. China would take a wait and see what happens and throw in with whoever provides the best for Chinese National Interests and Security. Russia will overtly support Iran but also will join in according to how it benefits them.

 

Let’s see. What kind of chaos is happening currently in the Middle East?

 

1.     Recently a Hezbollah backed man became the Prime Minister of Lebanon after Hezbollah forced out Prime Minister Saad Hariri. New Prime Minister Najib Mikati has given public assurance he is not in the pocket of Hezbollah, Syria and Iran. If you believe that I have some mythical swamp land in Florida I can sell you for cheap.

 

2.     And why did Hezbollah topple the fragile Lebanese government of Prime Minister Hariri? It is because the U.N. has taken the shocking uncharacteristic action of naming what many believe to be Hezbollah members. There is speculation that Ayatollah Khamenei of Iran issued the order to assassinate Prime Minister Rafik Hariri and might be on the indictment. You can see the Iran to Syria to Hezbollah to Lebanon connection, right? Rafik was the father of Saad.

 

3.     Who can count how many times Syria has issued alerts in preparation for war with Israel the last couple of years. Did I mention Israel bombed a Syrian stealth nuclear reactor not too long ago?

 

4.     Hezbollah is Iran on the Mediterranean with some extreme back-up from rogue nation Syria.

 

5.     Sunni Hamas is a military recipient of the psycho-Shias of Iran and a tool of the Muslim Brotherhood.

 

6.     In mentioning the Muslim Brotherhood, that Salafist Islamic organization has taken advantage of Egyptian unrest to thrust itself into a potential power vacuum the mob is causing. Indeed, there are reports that both Hamas and Hezbollah have dispatched agents into Egypt to tweak the mob. Muslim grassroots unhappiness has spread across North Africa and is now entering the Sunni Middle East as well.  

 

I am sure with a little more digging I could find some more Muslim African and Muslim Asia indicators of the kind of chaos that is having a global effect. You can’t tell me the Twelvers of Iran are not thinking of giving a Twelfth Imam nudge by pushing chaotic circumstances.

 

JRH 1/31/11