My Fearless Political Predictions For 2014


Karl Rove

Karl Rove early in President George W. Bush’s Administration had a lot of Conservative Republican admirers including myself. He earned the political nickname of The Architect (Most Conservatives now believe Rove is the Architect for losing Congress after Bush) for getting Bush past a close election over Climate loon Al Gore and in essentially exposing then Senator John Kerry as a Hanoi Jane kind-of-guy probably clandestinely involved in inventing a new smear term of Swiftboating (HERE, HERE and HERE).

 

Karl Rove after informing us that the most of his 2013 came to pass, he then proceeds to deliver predictions for 2014. Loving him, hating him or indifferent about Rove; he has a few predictions that I hope he is correct about. Namely, the GOP wins the Senate and the House is still a GOP majority. But there is one prediction that absolutely has no politics involved of which I wholly indorse.

 

I am an NFL football fan. Particularly I am a Seattle Seahawk fan and have been since the first year of their franchise existence. I grew up in Washington State and lived a 100 miles away in Eastern Washington but I went to every game during my season ticket holding days of those first few years. I was a rabid fan even those early years were losing years. I suspect that is why Seahawk fans are so loud today. Seahawk fans are not fair weather fans. The Rove prediction is a Super Bowl victory for the 2013 season played on the first Sunday in February 2014.

 

Golden Tate Miracle Catch 2

 

Now that I have established what I like about Rove’s predictions here are his predictions for 2014.

 

JRH 12/26/13

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My Fearless Political Predictions For 2014

The penalty for ignoring ObamaCare’s individual mandate will be lifted.

 

By Karl Rove

December 26, 2013

Rove.com

 

It’s time to see how well I did with my predictions for 2013 and to offer a set of 2014 forecasts.

 

I got 10 predictions for this year right. President Obama’s job approval rating did drop—from 53% at year’s start to 40% this week. There was a new administration scandal, the most significant being the IRS targeting of conservative groups. And ObamaCare’s implementation was indeed “ragged and ugly” and “a continuing political advantage to Republicans” as forecast.

 

There was no grand budget bargain with entitlement reform. Venezuela’s Hugo Chávez did die. New Jersey Gov. Chris Christie won handily and the Virginia gubernatorial race was closer (2.6%) than many experts predicted. House Judiciary Committee Republicans are working on immigration reform while the comprehensive Senate bill backed by Mr. Obama is stalled. Hillary Clinton is now the front-runner in 2016 polls while the Obama girls got a new puppy.

 

Four predictions were wrong: unemployment hit 7% instead of 8%; Syria’s Bashar Assad remains in power; Fidel Castro is still alive and President and Mrs. George W. Bush got a granddaughter, not a grandson. In one instance, the results were half-right. The debt ceiling was raised, but Mr. Obama wasn’t forced to make spending cuts in return.

 

So what does my crystal ball say for 2014? Mr. Obama’s Gallup disapproval rating will end higher than this week’s 53%. Republicans will keep the House with a modest pickup of 4-6 seats. The GOP will most likely end up with 50 or 51 Senate seats (in the former case, keeping Vice President Joe Biden fully occupied for two years presiding over the chamber). Control of the Senate may not be decided until December’s Louisiana runoff. Propelled by union contributions, Democrats will outspend Republicans overall in House and Senate races.

 

Republicans will lose a net of one or two of their 30 governorships. They’ll add to their numbers in statewide offices and state legislatures and see more Latino, Asian-American, African-American and women Republicans elected up and down the ballot.

 

Every Republican senator and virtually every representative challenged in a primary as insufficiently conservative will win. In reaction to ObamaCare, GOP political divisions are giving way to unity. Tens of millions more Americans will lose their coverage and find that new ObamaCare plans have higher premiums, larger deductibles and fewer doctors. Enrollment numbers will be smaller than projected and budget outlays will be higher. The White House will blame insurers and Republicans for the law’s continuing failures.

 

At year’s end, Kathleen Sebelius will still be HHS Secretary. Support for ObamaCare will drop below 30%, causing congressional Democrats to clamber for major changes and delays. The administration will resist most such ideas, except lifting the individual mandate penalty for 2014.

 

It won’t be all sweetness and light for the GOP, however. Republicans will debate joining rebellious Democrats in gutting and delaying elements of ObamaCare or leaving it alone.

 

The White House will be even more hard-edged and partisan— and not just because of John Podesta’s addition as counselor. Mr. Obama will do what he does when in trouble: attack. Expect more liberals to blame criticism of his actions on racism. The president’s willingness to ignore or unilaterally alter provisions of laws on the statute books—otherwise known as lawlessness—will be challenged by a growing number of successful lawsuits.

 

Wisconsin Rep. Paul Ryan will increase his already considerable influence in the House, taking the lead on GOP antipoverty efforts and presenting the most serious comprehensive health-care plan congressional Republicans have offered.

 

Overseas, the Syrian civil war will be to Mr. Obama what Rwandan genocide was to the Clinton administration: a moral stain. Despite more American concessions, the Iranian nuclear deal will collapse as that country refuses to curtail its uranium enrichment. The administration will resign itself to a nuclear Iran and shift to “containment,” further eroding U.S. credibility with Middle East allies. The new Afghan government will sign a Status of Forces Agreement, keeping Mr. Obama from squandering progress there as he did victory in Iraq by failing to get such an agreement (though Baghdad wanted one). North Korea’s Kim Jong Un will test another nuclear device.

 

Outside of politics: “Duck Dynasty” will set another cable viewership record. Miley Cyrus will fade as a cultural phenomenon. Sandra Bullock will win an Oscar for “Gravity.” Peyton Manning will win a fifth MVP award and the Seattle Seahawks their first Lombardi Trophy. (Blog Editor: Bold Emphasis Mine)

 

Instead of writing New Year’s resolutions, send me your 2014 predictions, in care of The Wall Street Journal. Happy prognosticating!

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A version of this article appeared December 26, 2013, in the U.S. edition of The Wall Street Journal, with the headline My Fearless Political Predictions For 2014 and online at WSJ.com.

 

Karl Rove Bio

Seahawk Fan and Love’in it!


Russel Wilson during Saints game 12-2-13

Russell Wilson

John R. Houk

© December 3, 2013

 

This diehard Hawk fan is ecstatic! The Seahawks not only won Monday Night’s football game against the New Orleans Saints but also opened a can of whupa*s. The Seahawks are now an 11-1 with their closest competitors in the NFC being 9-3 (Whupped-up Saints and Panthers). As the article “Seahawks, Russell Wilson Show They’re NFC’s Team to Beat by Demolishing Saints” says, “All roads to the Super Bowl lead through Seattle.” If you are a Seahawks fan or are following them this year as a fair weather fan you should read this article.

 

I usually avoid posting sports on my blogs, but I have been a Seahawk faithful ever since the organization came into existence in 1976 when I lived a mere 100 miles away in Ellensburg, WA. My life journey has since led me to Oklahoma but I will always be a Seahawk fan – GO 12th MAN!

 

JRH 12/3/13

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Seahawks, Russell Wilson Show They’re NFC’s Team to Beat by Demolishing Saints

 

By Mike Freeman

(NFL National Lead Writer)

December 3, 2013

Bleacher Report

 

Seattle — This wasn’t so much a game as it was a multi-layered coronation, done in the guise of a punch to the face, thrown by a gentleman. Instigated by an angry defense. Egged on by a volatile crowd.

 

These are the Seattle Seahawks, officially your NFC favorite to reach the Super Bowl. Sorry San Francisco. Buh bye New Orleans. G’night, Carolina.

 

Barring some sort of cataclysm, the road to New Jersey will go through here. That was established during the 34-7 disemboweling of the Saints on an unbelievable Monday night. It was established in the rawest, most guttural terms as the Seahawks bashed a good Saints team—strutting, shoving, battering, jawing and intimidating along the way.

 

This game was the equivalent of the Seahawks walking to the 50-yard line while holding a baseball bat and daring anyone to enter the territory they just marked.

 

You feeling lucky?

 

Really?

 

Well step on up, dude. Let’s go.

 

Some of you will flame the message boards and stomp your feet about the Panthers or 49ers. This year, in this moment, the 49ers aren’t winning here. Joe Montana ain’t walking through that door. If you think a team like Carolina could win in this maelstrom of violence, you need to visit a doctor’s office.

 

What makes the Seahawks most dangerous, more dangerous than any other NFC team, isn’t solely their physicality or noisy home-field advantage, it’s the Gentleman Destroyer, Russell Wilson.

 

Wilson has elevated himself to the position of the most well-rounded pass thrower in football not named Aaron Rodgers. This isn’t a reactionary declaration but the culmination of a steady climb up the quarterback ranks. There were passes he made against the Saints that were Tom Brady-like and moves that were Randall Cunningham-esque.

 

The comparison for Wilson has been Fran Tarkenton, but he’s actually more Steve Young because of the power of his arm and accuracy of his throws. Before this game, in his previous 19, Wilson was 299-of-458 for 4,014 yards, 35 touchdowns and eight interceptions. According to Sports Illustrated, his passer rating of 111.2 over that span is the best in football.

 

Coach Pete Carroll said that Wilson does so many things well he makes it almost impossible for opponents to game-plan against him. That’s definitely a true statement.

 

Wilson had two touchdowns in the first half as the Seahawks jumped to a 27-7 lead. That means, according to the NFL, Wilson became only the fourth quarterback in league history to reach 20 touchdown passes in his first two seasons. He joins Dan Marino, Peyton Manning and Andy Dalton. Wilson is 22-6 as a starter.

 

What Wilson did against the Saints is use his feet and athleticism to recreate the pocket once protection broke down. Shuffle, shuffle, shuffle and then throw, instead of running just to run.

 

Wilson used almost hypnotic footwork to dodge a fatty diving at him on numerous occasions. The escape would be followed by a dart down the field. On one play, Saints defensive lineman Akiem Hicks had Wilson cold, but Wilson stepped quickly to the side and Hicks went sprawling helplessly to the ground. After the play, Hicks just sat on the turf, hands in his lap, stunned by what had just happened.

 

Wilson does all of this with an All-American smile that hides a viciousness. Wilson at half had led the Saints to an offensive advantage of 315 total yards to 90 for New Orleans. Wilson finished 22-of-30 for 310 yards and three scores.

 

“He’s an extraordinary person and it goes beyond his football abilities,” Carroll said.

 

The aw-shucks stuff from Wilson is real. The talk of his work ethic is real. The player is…real.

 

On Sunday, Wilson texted Carroll to say how happy he was with the team’s week of practice. Most players don’t send those kinds of texts to coaches. Usually, texts are sent to coaches when they want more playing time, or bail money.

 

This Seahawks team is wonderfully athletic and formidably powerful. They can knock you out. They can outrun you. If they so choose, they can do both of the above. New Orleans had its largest halftime deficit since 2007 and Drew Brees‘ 74 passing yards through two quarters was his lowest since 2008. This was one of the few times you will ever see Sean Payton out-coached.

 

The Seahawks are brutal and they are also not always the most likable group. In fact, what the Seahawks are is quite possibly the first Super Bowl contender that is both lovable and hate-able. Wilson is the talented teddy bear, so likable he’s Red State electable, while other components of the Seahawks can be absolutely jerkish.

 

Wide receiver Golden Tate preens and jaws after seemingly every routine catch. On almost every occasion, Seattle defensive backs mouthed off to Saints players. There was a solid cheap shot or two from the Seahawks as well, including a nasty one in the end zone. None of this includes how Seattle has enough suspended and PED’d dudes to create their own practice squad.

 

At CenturyLink Field, however, all of this works for Seattle. The intense crowd noise…the fervor…it creates not just an electricity but an almost elevated sense of being. Everything Seattle is elevated: the play, the energy, the water that rolls next to the stadium.

 

The Seahawks almost can’t help themselves because the energy level acts like a propellant. It’s not Adderall—it’s 12thMan-erall.

 

The 11-1 Seahawks are two games ahead of New Orleans and Carolina (9-3) in the NFC. The conference belongs to Seattle.

 

“As of right now,” said quarterback Drew Brees, “it’s looking like the road to the Super Bowl goes through here.”

 

If Seattle keeps playing like this, it won’t just be home-field advantage they win.

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Seahawk Fan and Love’in it!

John R. Houk

© December 3, 2013

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Seahawks, Russell Wilson Show They’re NFC’s Team to Beat by Demolishing Saints

 

Copyright © 2013 Bleacher Report, Inc. Turner Broadcasting System, Inc. All Rights Reserved. BleacherReport.com is part of Bleacher Report – Turner Sports Network, part of the Turner Sports and Entertainment Network.

 

Seahawks Fan – About Time Seahawks Catch a Ref Break


Tate Hail Mary MNF b 9-24-12

John R. Houk

© September 27, 2012

 

I know most of America is railing against Golden Tate’s game winning simultaneous catch for a TD at the end of the game; however the Seahawks have received so many raw deals over the last 20 years by the regular NFL Refs that a little sowing and reaping justice came to the Seahawks way. I believe Golden Tate did have the ball as much as the Green Bay defense player did; the real failure of the replacement Refs was not calling Offensive pass interference which would have annulled the simultaneous catch. AND if offense pass interference was called the Pack would have won because extended play is only allowed on a defensive penalty. No penalty was called – as is common in Hail Mary plays – thus simultaneous catch tie goes to the Offense.

 

Yup, I’m prejudiced.

 

J

 

VIDEO: Green Bay Packers @ Seattle Seahawks 9/24/12

 

 

NFL ruling: http://tinyurl.com/94qqwt7

 

Golden Tate’s Version: http://tinyurl.com/9h5e4e6

 

JRH 9/24/12

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