Understand the Threat of Islam to Western Culture


John R. Houk

© July 31, 2018

The Youtube channel VladTepesBlog posted about a 42-minute prepared speech read by a Swedish gal – Nina Drakfors*** – expressing her dire disappoint with Swedish government’s Multiculturalist ideology of planting culture-clashing Muslim immigrants (or migrants) in Sweden. Drakfors explains the horrible consequences on the Swedish populace experiencing violent crimes including massive rape-jihad from these Muslims. The Swedish government and Swedish media has been propagandizing their citizens all is well when the opposite is quite true!

 

(***You should know about Nina Drakfors. I usually just link to biographical info, however the most reliable info I have found is in Swedish. Thus I have decided to post a Google English translation at the end of the Don Boys post even though it extends the length of this blog post.)

 

I learned of this video from a Vlad Tepes Blog post of which I am sent email updates. Although the video is at the top of the post, the more interesting portion of the post is the pseudonymous author Eeyore responding to a Youtube comment expressing his opinion about the possible nefarious reason the European Leftist ruling Elites allow Muslim immigration that is obviously disrupting the indigenous Western Culture.

 

The commenter – identified as  H.J. Indy Nuding – has a great point, but Eeyore’s response is even better and one I fully agree with. Because of that which I find more interesting I’m posting the comment and Eeyore’s response first, then the Swedish gal’s extremely valid points read in Swedish with English subtitles – last.

 

AND, after the Vlad Tepes thoughts I’m cross posting the thoughts Don Boys, PhD. Boys is a Christian Evangelist born in West Virginia that even had a political career elected to the Indiana House of Representatives. The Boys essay also addresses the infusion of counter-culture Islam in the West and how Eastern European nations are awakening to the threat Islam presents to Western Culture. The implication being America needs to WAKE-UP!

 

JRH 7/31/18

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What happened to Sweden?

 

Posted by Eeyore

July 30, 2018 9:42 am

Vlad Tepes

 

A question was left for me in the comments at Youtube last night which I thought I would post along with my answer below in case its food for discussion.

 

H.J. Indy Nuding

 

Vlad Tepesblog – I’ve been contemplating a lot over the last few years about the Massive influx of Muslims into the West and the endorsing by our Political, Social, Academented Elite of this trend, the slow Islamization of the West.

 

I came to the conclusion that this is being done by the “Elite” deliberately and not out of Fear being called Names for the one and only reason, the Reason of gaining ABSOLUTE POWER. The Black Africans that are being flooded into Europe would make good Foot Soldiers for Islam, since they are easily influenced by promises of “Legal” Rape, Loot and Violence against Non Muslims (“Whites”).

 

I looked at Christianity, how it was turned into the Empirical Religion by the Roman Emperor Constantine for simple Political Reasons, to have ABSOLUTE POWER over each and every aspect of Life, to create a Society under ONE Banner. Unfortunately for the “Ruling” Classes, Christianity wasn’t as inflexible as they thought, since in my humble opinion it’s a free flowing Philosophy and not a rigid Ideology and eventually Church and State got separated and through this a lot of State Power over Peoples Lives was lost.

 

When you look at Islam on the other Hand, it’s an Ideology that is as Rigid and Inflexible as it get’s, it cannot be changed, it’s the “FINAL Word of Allah” and rules through Sharia Law each and every aspect of a Muslims Life, from how to shit, eat, drink, f**k and THINK. What better tool than Islam for Oppression?

 

What better tool to Enslave the Body and Mind of People? Islam is like an Oubliette with a way in, but NO way out. My believe, through observation of what is happening all over the Western World, is that our “Politicians” and “Big Global Corporations” want to turn the Free World into an Islamic Hellhole to wield again the ABSOLUTE POWER they lost to our Ancestors during the Centuries. What do you think?

 

Vlad Tepesblog

 

H.J. I suspect its leftists using Islam as a battering ram to destroy classical civilization, which they have through great logical acrobatics, made into the great evil of the world, with the intention of replacing it with a communist-post modern ‘civilization, which would have to work this time cause there won’t be any place to escape to.

 

Something very much like that. The evidence for this is overwhelming really. But two of my favorite bits of it are: A letter to Obama from Carlos the Jackal in a French prison saying the only way to defeat Western civilization was a combination of leftism and islam, and a document from a French MP in 1928 asking for the government to research the odd relationship between European communist groups and Middle Eastern Islamic ones.

 

https://vladtepesblog.com/2017/09/05/letter-from-french-government-official-in-1928-questioning-leftist-and-islamic-cooperation/

 

But there is a buyers market on this kind of evidence really. Spend a day at any university for the past 100 years. I went briefly to a Canadian one in the 70s. Looking back, the textbooks I was given were all postmodern replacements for real science. People like Money and Erheartd, (sp) the pseudo sex researchers who have destroyed many people’s lives with their PoMo religion pretending to be science.

 

Leftism has no weapons except their fictions, and weaponized islam. Mind you, the US and Russia used jihadi groups as proxies for decades and decades. So it’s not unique. It’s just horrifying that people in our midst, who benefit from our work and ideas, are using islam against us, instead of as a military asset against a far target which is a threat to us we are more used to.

 

It isn’t even impossible that Russia is playing a part in weaponizing and sending some of these muslims into our nations. To a degree, Russia does want us to be weaker for its own reasons, and now they don’t have communism slowing them down.

 

I have read speculation that Soros is a Russian agent. That explains a few things actually. Like how did a broke ex-Nazi Hungarian get into the LSE?

 

Here is the strategic overview as I see it: Communist groups seek to destroy the west by fractioning it in every possible way. This turned out to be easier than anyone would have thought, using only language. They did so by creating as many groups out of the one, and making them believe that what’s left in the middle had been abusing, exploiting or otherwise disenfranchising them. This goes from physical attributes like race and skin tone, (BLM Etc.) to belief, religions, Jews, Muslims et al, to irrelevant behaviours. Like who or what you want to have sex with, and of course, your physiology. Male female.

 

That became quite a powerful one in fact. People could be made to identify themselves as their kinks. Also issues could be mal-framed so that we would agree to one thing when really getting another. Much like signing an iTunes agreement.

 

So when the West was bullied into getting gay marriage, it really got the destruction of real marriage. A powerful western institution. So now the circle around the remainder is powerful and all that is left in the middle is white males. Attacking forces include everything from muslims, to leftists of all types who use their new PoMo labels, Jew, black, woman, homo, whatever, as both a sword and a shield. This is a fairly brilliant plan and could easily work.’ After all. How to you fight a nuclear power when all you have is words? Replace all the people in the chain of command with your people and now YOU have the nuclear weapons. Right? I hope that is the answer you were asking for.

 

VIDEO: What is wrong with Sweden

 

Posted by Vlad Tepesblog

Published on Jul 29, 2018

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No Democracy, Republic, Monarchy, or Dictatorship is Safe from Islam!

 

By Don Boys, PhD

July 30, 2018

Capitol Hill Outsider

 

Muslim in Prayer – Jihad

 

Polish lawmaker Dominik Tarczyński admitted on television that Poland had not received a single Muslim refugee! He also stated they had not had any terrorist attacks! He declared, “We can be called populists, nationalists, racists, I don’t care — I care about my family, and about my country.” That’s a smart, honest politician although not politically correct.

 

And his tribe is increasing at a rapid rate all over Europe—Netherlands, Italy, Austria, Hungary, with others arising in France, Germany, England, etc. And such patriotic leaders give heartburn to open border fanatics and all globalists.

 

Let me see if I understand this correctly: the nations that refuse to take in Muslims are having no problem with terror and the nations that have almost open borders and are being flooded by Muslims have had numerous terrorist attacks. Maybe America and Canada should take note.

 

All politicians had better face reality and not snuggle up to the political, social, academic, and media elite: Muslims have an agenda that seeks every nations’ capitulation to their influence.

 

A Muslim demonstrator in Dearborn, Michigan proudly held a sign stating, “We will use the freedoms of the Constitution to destroy the Constitution!” But political fools refuse to believe such “peaceful” religious people could really be telling the truth as to their intentions!

 

No democracy or republic or monarchy, dictatorship is safe and many nations are even financing their own fall as in the United Kingdom. Sharia-practicing Muslim organizer Anjem Choudary of Islam4UK stated, as reported in the London Daily Express, “We have had enough of democracy and man-made law.…We will call for a complete upheaval of the British ruling system…and demand full implementation of Shariah in Britain.”

 

Hardline Iranian Judge Ayatollah Sadegh Khalkhali openly declared, “Those who are against killing have no place in Islam. Our Prophet killed with his own blessed hands…If the survival of the faith requires the shedding of blood, we are there to perform our duty.” He may be a bigot, barbarian, and butcher but he was honest about what Islam is.

 

Friends, it’s time to wake up!

 

Dr. Imran Waheed, the London spokesman for the international “peaceful” jihadist group Hizb ut-Tahrir, claimed in May 2005 that 99 percent of the Muslims worldwide want a caliphate to rule the world!

 

Shukri Abu Baker gave marching instructions of destruction to his followers in a secret meeting with the Council on American-Islamic Relations (CAIR) and it was taped by the FBI. “I swear by Allah that war is deception…We are fighting our enemy with a kind heart…Deceive, camouflage, pretend that you’re leaving while you’re walking  that way. Deceive your enemy….” Note that he was speaking at a CAIR meeting–you know, the Muslim group that is only a public relations firm or civil rights group, or so they say. Their actions prove otherwise. Notice the use of war, deception, fighting, enemy, deceive, and pretend, all indicative of confusion, confrontation, and conflict leading to control.

 

Omar Ahmad is co-founder of CAIR and former Islamic Association for Palestine (IAP) officer. FBI surveillance tapes at secret Hamas meeting in 1993 reveal that IAP could not admit support for the terrorist group Hamas since it would not be politically wise. Of course not. They may be terrorists but they aren’t stupid! The Holy Land Foundation paid for Omar’s travel and lodging for the meeting.

 

Omar declared, “Those who stay in America should be open to society without  melting, keeping mosques open so anyone can come and learn about Islam. If you choose to live here, you have a responsibility to deliver the message of Islam…Islam isn’t in America to be equal to any other faiths, but to become dominant. The Koran, the Muslim book of scripture, should be the highest authority in America, and Islam the only accepted religion on Earth.” Well, that’s clear.

 

Omar praised suicide bombers of innocent people, “Fighting for freedom, fighting for Islam, that is not suicide…they kill themselves for Islam.” Remember, that comes from the mouth of the co-founder of CAIR, America’s number one Muslim organization! Wake up!

 

However, CAIR is a front for Islamic terror groups such as Hamas and Hezbollah, and terrorists are as easily found in their company as a bowling ball in a bathtub. The Hamas Charter states their purpose is terror. “Israel will exist and will continue to exist until Islam will obliterate it, just as it obliterated others before it.” The Bible in Psalm 83:4 predicted this hatred of Israel: “They have said, Come, and let us cut them off from being a nation; that the name of Israel may be no more in remembrance.”

 

Israel is the most hated nation on earth and is not even on the maps of many Islamic nations! Many Muslim leaders have boldly declared that Israel should be driven into the sea.

 

Nihad Awad is Co-Founder and CAIR Executive Director and former Public Relations Director for the Islamic Association for Palestine (IAP). He was born in Jordan and is now a U.S. citizen. He boldly declared, “I am in support of the Hamas movement.” He also said, “We do not and will not condemn any liberation movement inside Palestine or Lebanon.”

 

Randall “Ismail” Royer was CAIR’s National Civil Rights Coordinator and Communications Specialist who was convicted of terrorist crimes while working for CAIR. He was sentenced to twenty years in a Federal Prison. CAIR is a nest of rattlesnakes!

 

Ghassan Elashi was founder of CAIR-Texas and Chairman of Holy Land Foundation for Relief and Development. He was convicted for committing terrorist crimes while working for CAIR and sentenced to 65 years in a Federal Prison.

 

Mo Hassan is a Pakistani-American and former CEO of Bridges TV who was convicted of beheading his wife in 2011! In 2007, he received a CAIR Award but his fellow prisoners aren’t that impressed with the honor. Mo will spend 25 years in prison. I wonder why he didn’t get life. After all, how can a beheading not be premediated?

 

I reported in my book Muslim Invasion: The Fuse is Burning! that 60% of Muslim-Americans under 30 told Pew Research they’re more loyal to Islam than America! That is Muslims in America, not Egypt, Pakistan, or Saudi Arabia.

 

Islam has eyes on every nation in the world! Each one is to be part of their world system called the caliphate. It is already too late for some national leaders to wake up to the truth: Islam, true Islam, is our number one enemy with plans to destroy every legitimate government.

 

It is dumb, dangerous, and deadly for a nation to disregard Islam; after all, like rattlesnakes, they have warned us of their intentions!

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*** Translated to English from Swedish (NINADRAKFORS)

About Nina [Drakfors]

 

I am an opinion maker with an agenda. My agenda is to make visible and stop the irresponsible immigration policy. I also have an agenda to highlight democratic threats, as I believe that established media has become a part. What drives me is a relentless power, never compromising or losing my children and the welfare of your children.

 

Why Critical Approach to Islam?

 

There is an important issue that I want to convey about the reason and motivation of my blog posts about Islam. I am critical of Islam and know that many may think that it is extreme and that my reasons for this are questionable. There is always a reason in all the work I do, both in my private life and in politics. It is about the future of our children and to live with our democratic freedoms.

 

Apart from what I have learned about current Islam, my judgment is that Islam is fundamental and design is a totalitarian religion that makes people stop thinking about themselves. Islam wants to create a world hero where human beings will be totally subjected.

 

 

Short information about who I am and do:

 

I’m an individual who blogs about politics. During my working life, I have worked in health care and has been a Social Security Officer from Göteborg University since 2010.

 

Currently working as a social secretary to handle and investigate support applications in the municipality of Skövde since 2010. He also has his own company, The Loving Touch of Lomi, where I perform Hawaiian healing massage as well as instructor in Kundaliniyoga.

 

Political experience and current situation:

 

I have been active in SD in Skara since 2015, in the form of being an alternate member of the board and regular in the Children and Education Board. In the past, I have been active in the Social Democrats in Skara and Hjo during the period 2000-2013 for a period of two years.

 

Has been assigned a mission in Skara Municipality as a regular member of the City Council, the Children’s and Educational Board and the Building Board. Has also been in the board of S-women Skaraborg.

 

READ ENTIRETY (with some translation software – I used Google Translate)

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Nina Drakfors: Swedish Politicians Must Put the Welfare of Their Own People Before Anyone Else

 

Posted by Baron Bodissey

July 30, 2018

Gates of Vienna

 

Nina Drakfors is a former Social Democrat in Sweden who woke up to what is happening to her country — or, more precisely, what is being done to it by its own political leaders and the globalist elites who are pushing for the erasure of national borders.

 

She originally gave this talk at a meeting in Copenhagen at the invitation of the Danish anti-sharia group For Frihed.

 

Many thanks to Tania Groth for the translation, and to Vlad Tepes for the subtitling:

 

… Watch and/or READ THE REST

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Understand the Threat of Islam to Western Culture

John R. Houk

© July 31, 2018

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What happened to Sweden?

 

About Eeyore

Canadian artist and counter-jihad and freedom of speech activist as well as devout Schrödinger’s catholic

 

View all posts by Eeyore

 

Copyright © 2018 Vlad Tepes All Rights Reserved.

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No Democracy, Republic, Monarchy, or Dictatorship is Safe from Islam!

 

Boys’ book  Muslim Invasion: The Fuse is Burning! is available here. An eBook edition is also available.

 

Boys’ new book  The World’s Best Jokes! was published recently as an eBook. To get your copy, click here.

 

© Copyright by Don Boys, PhD, 2018. All rights reserved.

 

Read More Articles by Don Boys

 

Dr. Don Boys is a former member of the Indiana House of Representatives, author of 14 books, frequent guest on television and radio talk shows, and wrote columns for USA Today for 8 years. Three years ago, the second edition of ISLAM: America’s Trojan Horse! was published, and his new eBook, The God Haters is available for $9.99 from http://www.thegodhaters.com. These columns go to newspapers, magazines, television, and radio stations. His other web sites are http://www.cstnews.com and http://www.Muslimfact.com. Contact Don for an interview or talk show.

 

Copyright © 2012 – 2018 | Capitol Hill Outsider and Outsider News Publishing

 

Poland Withstand Muslim Invasion Like Yesteryears


John R. Houk

© December 2, 2017

 

You don’t hear too much in the American Mainstream Media (MSM) about the European Union’s (EU) devastating problems with Muslim immigrants (legal and illegal) as well as next generation Muslims from those immigrants. What are those problems? Simply put: It is the crimes of theft, assault, rape, rioting and Islamic Supremacism in general.

 

The sad part of these problems is that the EU Multiculturalist elites are doing their best to cover-up most of the illegal excursions of Muslims causing problems. The cover-ups are a part of the Multiculturalist efforts to brainwash their original citizens to accept the Muslim migration with open arms. The Elites have been doing a pretty good snowball sell to their communities planting sympathy with the altruism of humanitarianism.

 

Yet, even with the cover-ups and brainwashing, EU citizens are catching on to the societal disruption Muslims are causing as the Western EU voters are electing more and more power to anti-immigrant politicians. Eastern EU voters so far have been very convincing as a constituency with Eastern European governments refusing Muslim immigrants entry have zero intention to conform to Western cultural norms and laws.

 

There are a number of Eastern European governments on the anti-immigration boat. Poland got my attention today from a post by Ann Corcoran on her Refugee Resettlement Watch blog. Corcoran is actually introducing an American Thinker short post about Poland refusing Muslim immigration to the political displeasure of Western EU power-elites especially in Germany.

 

Corcoran picked up on Poland’s historical legacy of King Jan (John in English) III Sobieski leading a multinational European force against Muslim invading Ottoman Turks that had made it to Vienna (now in Austria). The Ottomans were about to breach Vienna’s walls when the multinational force came to save the day beating back the Muslim invaders in 1683 A.D. (Anno Domini – in the year of the Lord):

 

John III Sobieski (PolishJan III SobieskiLithuanianJonas III SobieskisLatinIoannes III Sobiscius; 17 August 1629 – 17 June 1696), was King of Poland and Grand Duke of Lithuania from 1674 until his death, and one of the most notable monarchs of the Polish–Lithuanian Commonwealth.

 

Sobieski’s military skill, demonstrated in wars against the Ottoman Empire [Sobieski vs Ottomans], contributed to his prowess as King of Poland. Sobieski’s 22-year reign marked a period of the Commonwealth’s stabilization, much needed after the turmoil of the Deluge and the Khmelnytsky Uprising.[1] Popular among his subjects, he was an able military commander, most famous for his victory over the Turks at the 1683 Battle of Vienna.[2] After his victories over them, the Ottomans called him the “Lion of Lechistan“; and the Pope hailed him as the savior of Christendom.[3] (John III Sobieski; Wikipedia; last edited on 11/19/17 12:33)

 

And thus, the moral of the story is Poland was responsible for protecting Europe’s Christian heritage against invading Muslims in the past and has no intention of anti-Christian/anti-Western Muslims at this present time.

 

This cross post will use Corcoran’s intro then I’ll go strait to the American Thinker short article.

 

JRH 12/2/17

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The Poles remember their history, saved Europe from Muslim horde in 1683….

 

Posted by Ann Corcoran

December 1, 2017

Refugee Resettlement Watch

 

Sobieski’s Winged Hussars: “the badass Polish King Jan Sobieski led the single hugest and most balls-out cavalry charge in history.” http://www.badassoftheweek.com/hussars.html

 

….so they see very clearly their job today!

 

Longtime readers know all about the Polish King Jan Sobieski and the battle at the Gates of Vienna in 1683, but we get new readers every day and I need to continue to educate newbies.

 

We have an extensive archive on the ‘Invasion of Europe’ (mostly the modern day invasion), but it is important to repeat that Poland has a really good reason for resisting the migrants that both the EU and Mama Merkel would like to foist on the country.

 

Here it is, mentioned again in an article about Germany’s political difficulties at the moment, at America Thinker.

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For Eastern Europe, Germany Is the Trouble

 

By Alex Alexiev

December 1, 2017

American Thinker

 

The inability of Angela Merkel and her putative partners to form a government has given rise to persistent calls, including from the chancellor herself, that what Europe needs now is a strong Germany. In fact, it is Germany’s unquestioned strength and willingness to throw its weight around that are to blame for much of Eastern Europe’s unhappiness with the European Union at the moment. A case in point is the growing rift between Berlin and its eastern EU neighbors on some of the issues discussed by Merkel and her potential government partners.

 

Take for instance Merkel’s position claiming that the Russian Nord Stream 2 pipeline is simply a commercial project. To most of her eastern neighbors, this is nothing if not crass German hypocrisy designed to further German business, while facilitating  the monopolistic endeavors of Vladimir Putin and Russia’s energy monopoly, Gazprom, at the expense of Eastern Europe. Or the willingness of Germany’s Free Democrats to give Russia a pass on Crimean annexation, which suspiciously sounded like an apologia of the old “might is right” axiom. Or the asinine suggestion of the Greens to settle entire Syrian villages in Eastern Europe to make the migrants feel more comfortable and the locals less so.

 

Beyond these specific disagreements, there are fundamental, perhaps irreconcilable, differences between Eastern Europe and Germany on at least two issues – defense policy and migration. Regarding the former, following the collapse of the Soviet Union and the reunification of Germany, Berlin seems to have decided that there would never be another war in Europe and it stopped spending money on defense. As a result, in a short time the German military was transformed from being the second most powerful in NATO to a weakling spending barely 1.2% of GDP on defense instead of the 2% agreed minimum. Its personnel collapsed nearly four-fold (600,000 to 177,000) and it has glaring equipment shortfalls that make its functioning as an integral force very doubtful. According to Jane’s, close to half of its Leopard 2 tanks (95 of 244) are not combat ready, and neither are 28 of its 75 Tornado combat aircraft, nor are 41 of its 79 Eurofighters, nor are four out of ten Patriot air-defense systems.

 

More troublesome than these capability issues is Germany’s unwillingness to determine where the threat to Europe may be coming from. Unlike Eastern Europe, which invariably sees Russia as a clear and present danger, Berlin appears not to be sure. During the recent election campaign, Merkel’s socialist coalition partners called for disarmament and the withdrawal of American nuclear weapons from Germany, in the face of blatant Russian aggression in Ukraine and elsewhere. This fundamental divergence in threat perceptions also results in stark differences in attitudes toward defense spending, the United States and NATO priorities. There is a palpable and growing fault line between East and West Europe on defense matters that does not bode well for NATO.

 

There is also a huge gulf in attitudes toward migration. Western Europeans cite the easterners’s refusal to take any migrants as a sign of lack of solidarity, populist prejudice and perhaps racism.  The easterners respond that nobody asked their views on opening the borders and point out the failure of western societies to integrate the migrants as a reason to not rush into this experiment. They point out that Muslims that have lived for decades in Europe, yet nonetheless voted for the Islamist dictator Erdogan in much greater numbers than their fellow Turks at home. There are also spiking numbers of migrant crimes and sexual assaults.

 

here is another powerful reason for Eastern Europe’s reluctance to accept Muslim refugees that is seldom discussed, though it is important and it has to do with the region’s historical experience with Muslims. Very few in Western Europe are aware of it, but every child in Poland knows that Jan Sobieski saved Europe and Christendom from the Ottomans at Vienna in 1683. They also know that much of Eastern Europe, including the Balkans, Hungary, Podolia in Poland, Wallachia and Moldavia were for centuries under the Ottomans and subject to infidel taxes, rapacious military levies, the boy tribute, and the depredations of the slave raiders. It was not a happy experience and many historians trace the backwardness of Eastern Europe compared to the rest of it to its unfortunate experience with Muslim obscurantism. Not an experience that is easily forgotten.

 

Alex Alexiev  is chairman of the Center for Balkan and Black Sea Studies (cbbss.org) and editor of bulgariaanalytica.org. He tweets on national security at twitter.com/alexieff and could be reached at alexievalex4@gmail.com.

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Poland Withstand Muslim Invasion Like Yesteryears

John R. Houk

© December 2, 2017

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The Poles remember their history, saved Europe from Muslim horde in 1683….

 

About RRW

 

Update[d] April 26, 2015:

 

A few months ago A year ago  Two Three years ago, Six years Seven Eight years ago it came to our attention in Washington County MD that a non-profit group (Virginia Council of Churches) had been bringing refugees into the city of Hagerstown (county seat) for a couple of years. Some problems arose and citizens started to take an interest and ask questions about how this federal program works. Our local paper had no interest in finding the facts, so we decided to find them ourselves.

 

One of the many startling things we found out about this very quiet effort is that these non-profit groups bring to the US on average each year 15,000 (FY90-FY03) Muslim refugees from the Middle East, Africa, the Balkans, etc, almost completely funded by the US Government through grants and contracts to these non-government agencies. Of the 168 refugees brought to our county since 2004, 125 are Muslim. Although we all have sympathy for persecuted and suffering people there are real questions to be answered about the wisdom of this policy.

 

It turns out that there are hotbeds of this refugee resettlement controversy throughout the US.  We have identified some of those.   Because the issue is much more complicated than we initially realized, we have set up this online community organizing center at https://refugeeresettlementwatch.wordpress.com/.

 

READ THE REST

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For Eastern Europe, Germany Is the Trouble

 

© American Thinker 2017

 

About American Thinker

 

American Thinker is a daily internet publication devoted to the thoughtful exploration of issues of importance to Americans. Contributors are accomplished in fields beyond journalism and animated to write for the general public out of concern for the complex and morally significant questions on the national agenda.

 

There is no limit to the topics appearing on American Thinker. National security in all its dimensions — strategic, economic, diplomatic, and military — is emphasized. The right to exist and the survival of the State of Israel are of great importance to us. Business, science, technology, medicine, management, and economics in their practical and ethical dimensions are also emphasized, as is the state of American culture.

 

READ THE REST

 

Borderlands: First Moves in Romania


Borderlands around Russia map

That which happens in Ukraine matters to America. George Friedman gives you the reasons why.

 

JRH 5/27/14

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Borderlands: First Moves in Romania

 

By George Friedman

MAY 27, 2014 – 03:02

STRATFOR

 

I arrived in Bucharest, Romania, the day after U.S. Vice President Joe Biden. U.S. Secretary of Defense Chuck Hagel will be here in a few weeks. The talk in Bucharest, not only among the leadership but also among the public, is about Ukraine. Concerns are palpable, and they are not only about the Russians. They are also about NATO, the European Union, the United States and whether they will all support Romania if it resists Russia. The other side of the equation, of course, is whether Romania will do the things it must do in order to make outside support effective. Biden left Romania with a sense that the United States is in the game. But this is not a region that trusts easily. The first step was easy. The rest become harder.

 

If this little Cold War becomes significant, there are two European countries that matter the most: Poland and Romania. Poland, which I visit next, stands between Germany and Russia on the long, flat North European plain. Its population is about 38 million people. Romania, to the south, standing behind the Prut River and bisected by the Carpathian Mountains, has a population of about 20 million. Of the roughly 82 million people along the eastern frontier (Poland, Slovakia, Hungary, Romania, Bulgaria), approximately 58 million live in Poland and Romania. Biden’s visit to Romania and U.S. President Barack Obama’s planned visit to Poland provide a sense of how Washington looks at the region and, for the moment at least, the world. How all of this plays out is, of course, dependent on the Russians and the course of the Ukrainian crisis.

All Soviet satellites emerged damaged after the collapse of the old order in 1989. Few were as damaged as Romania. In many ways, the damage was self-inflicted: The villain of the piece was a Romanian, Nicolae Ceausescu. Ceausescu followed an anti-Soviet line, staying in the Warsaw Pact but displaying singular hostility to the Soviet Union. I recall Americans being excited about Ceausescu’s Romania since, being anti-Soviet, it was assumed that by definition he had to be pro-American. To America’s amazement, he wasn’t. He wasn’t even pro-Romanian given that he concocted a scheme to pay off all of Romania’s foreign debts by destroying the lives of a generation of Romanians by consigning the vast majority of the country’s agricultural and industrial production to hard currency exports. Beyond that, he created a nightmarish security system that was both corrupt and vicious. The world barely noticed. When the end came, it also came for Ceausescu and his wife, the only Eastern European leaders to be executed (amid intense fighting between factions).

 

For all that, Romania has done remarkably well. Romania’s unemployment rate is only about 7 percent, which by European standards is remarkably low. Its annual growth rate stands at more than 3 percent, which is conversely high. In talking to Romanians, it is hard to see into their hearts. They seem a gracious and friendly people, with a measure of distrust and a taste for conspiracy no greater than the norm for this region. What is remarkable about the Romanians is that they are unremarkable. They have emerged from a nightmare inflicted by one of their own and have regained their balance.

 

Ceausescu aside, the nightmare was initiated by the Soviets, who were drawn in by the Germans. This has resulted in a lasting national trait: When the Russians act, it strikes fear deep into the Romanian heart. When the Russians act and the Germans have a hand in the action, the Romanians’ worst nightmare is realized. Their reaction doesn’t manifest itself as with the Poles, who are always committed to the decisive confrontation. Instead, the nightmare scenario elicits a more cautious and sinewy response involving the search for a way both to resist and if necessary to accommodate. Above all, it elicits a search for allies, preferably far enough away not to occupy them and strong enough to offer meaningful support. Obviously, the Americans are tailor-made for this role, so long as they don’t overstep their bounds and generate fears of domination.

 

The Ukrainian Factor

 

Events in Ukraine have, of course, set this process in motion. Remarkably, the United States, which remained a bystander other times, has gotten quickly and significantly involved this time around. There is no question in Romania as to the importance of Ukraine to Russia, nor any belief that the Russians will let go of it. My view is that Russia will not let go, but will let things quiet down a bit. The Russian gamble is that no matter what the outcome of Ukraine’s elections, the Ukrainians will be unable to form a coherent government. If that is true, then the Russians can pick the Ukrainians apart over time, returning to the status quo ante. Therefore, the Russians will wait. Time, if this view is correct, is on the Russians’ side.

 

The Russians do not want to be excessively aggressive for another reason: namely, Germany. The Germans do not want to go beyond occasional rhetoric in confronting Russia. In fact, they don’t want to confront Russia at all. They want to do business with Russia. I heard several times that the Germans have already opted to align themselves with Russia for commercial reasons. In my view, German policy is moving in that direction, but the deal is not yet sealed. In the same way that Russian President Vladimir Putin rushed to China to gain at least the appearance of strategic options, so, too, Putin wants as deep a relationship with Germany as he can get. He will not be excessively and overtly aggressive until and unless he must be. The Germans cannot be seen as simply abandoning their European allies, and Putin cannot put them in that position

.

The Russians want to quiet Ukraine down for another reason. Crises galvanize Americans to act rapidly, and frequently, effectively. Crises that are dying down cause the Americans to pause and consider the direction of events. As Biden’s visit to Romania indicated, Washington moves fast in crisis mode. The Russians can control the tempo of American actions by cooling things down in Ukraine — or so they think. And this is precisely what worries the Romanians. They see themselves as having a long-term Russian problem. At the moment, they are making a large bet that the Americans will follow through on their commitments and interest even as the Russians dial down the immediate crisis.

 

Fairly or not, the Romanians see the Obama administration as insufficiently engaged and heedless of the dangers the Russians pose. They also see the administration as intensely critical of Romania’s culture of corruption — which the Romanians admit is a problem — but intensely interested in military and political coordination. They understand the United States, which is what worries them. On the one hand, they will be courted intensely by the vice president only to be condemned by the State Department, and expected to expose themselves to Russian retaliation. I tried to explain the complexities of being American. The Romanians’ sympathy was restrained. They think they heard a real commitment from the American side, but they simply don’t know how genuine it is.

 

In the course of various conversations I tried to explain my view of the situation. The United States has a pattern of engagement in Europe. It postpones intervention to the last moment, builds alliance structures, supports allies with economic and military aid, and then waits until late in the game to intervene, always hoping it won’t have to. Biden’s and Hagel’s visits are part of the process of creating a regional bloc to contain the Russians and to establish a framework for military aid. Intervention comes much later, if ever.

 

The Romanians are more comfortable with this than the Poles are, who have asked for 10,000 NATO troops on their territory. The Romanians have no such expectations. They are also prepared to increase their defense budget to 2 percent of gross domestic product, which is significant for Europe these days. But they expect the United States to help finance the cost of the weapons they need to purchase. Expecting credit when facing the Russians, however, is no more reasonable than subjecting a country to State Department criticism while the Defense Department is urging risk taking. The Romanians ultimately feel that the U.S. intent isn’t clear.

 

U.S. Goals

 

The American intent at this point is to maintain an independent, pro-Western Ukraine. That might simply not be possible. But the problem is that in having this goal, and pursuing it to some effect, the United States has convinced the Russians that it intends to break the Russian Federation by denying it an essential sphere of influence. The Russians have now concluded that whatever happens in this round in Ukraine, this process will not end.

 

Whatever the American thoughts initially, they are realizing that the Russian threat to Ukraine is permanent, and that whatever happens in Ukraine, it will extend to countries like Romania. And Romania particularly matters to the Russians for two reasons. First, Romania is on the Black Sea, and the Black Sea is Russia’s southern maritime access to the world. That’s why they had to hold Sevastopol, and that’s why Odessa mattered so much. The Russians are aware that they need access to the Bosporus, controlled by the Turks. Still, American aircraft in Romania and Romanian ships in the Black Sea could complicate the Russians’ lives substantially, including their power in the Caucasus, since Georgia is on the Black Sea as well. It should be noted that boosting naval power is on the Romanian-American agenda, and both countries understand the challenge this creates for Russia.

 

The second challenge is that Romania is potentially capable of producing significant hydrocarbons, including oil. The Russians’ only real card in this game is their energy sales to Europe. If they withhold it, the pressure is enormous and that economic pressure can be converted to political power. Germany’s attitude is influenced by several things, but energy dependence is certainly one of the main ones.

 

There is no simple energy alternative to Russia, but one can be cobbled together from several sources, if not to replace Russian energy then to mitigate its power. Romania has energy and other resources to contribute to this, and the public statement issued by the United States and Romania included a commitment by Romania to focus on energy production as a critical element of the partnership. This is not as easy as it sounds. Romania has a reputation abroad for enormous complexity and unreliability in its permitting process.

 

This is another point where Romania’s new strategy intersects with Russian interests. The Romanian view is that the Russians are extending their influence throughout the region, but particularly in Romania. They do it by the traditional means of using their intelligence services to try to manipulate the political process in Romania. As important, they can use commercial relations to weave networks of influence that are designed to make it costly for Romania to resist the Russians. The Russians are particularly adept at using Gazprom, its subsidiaries and other Russian energy companies to purchase and invest in Romanian and regional companies. The deals are never unattractive to either side in business terms, but they also serve to put the Russians in a position to shape both energy policy and political dynamics. This what I call commercial imperialism: the use of deals, particularly in energy, to create blocking points within the political system when Russian interests are threatened. This is not confined to Romania; the Russians use this tool to shape the behavior of other countries. Though certainly far less unpleasant than Soviet occupation, it nevertheless poses a challenge to U.S. influence.

 

Moldova, Energy and Russian Subtlety

 

There is another dimension to all of this, namely, Moldova. Moldova is ethnically Romanian but has been dominated by the Soviet Union and before that the Russian Empire. It is a place that survives by its wits and by accommodating Russian influence. It is an important place in the sense that if it were to be occupied by the Russians, Moscow would have access to the Prut River, with only a plain between it and Bucharest. If Moldova were to join Romania, then NATO would be on the Dniester River, less than a hundred miles from Odessa.

 

But such calculations matter only in wartime, and the Russians are inherently weak. Their single advantage is energy exports, and that advantage depends on the world price of oil, where they make their real profits. They do not control that price and in the future it is possible that the United States, suddenly a massive producer of oil, will be pushing the price downward. If that happens, there is little left for them.

 

But that won’t happen for a couple of years, if it happens at all. And the full strength of the United States will not be at Romania’s call for a few years, if it does become available. And Romania’s obligation to produce energy won’t manifest itself for a couple of years. So here in southeastern Europe, the Russians have a window of opportunity to create a framework that can withstand the winter that is coming.

 

 

They cannot live without Ukraine. They cannot take Romania. With or without the Americans, the Russians aren’t strong enough for that. What they can do is manipulate, subvert, confuse and deflect. They need to undermine the Romanian entente with the United States, and they are skilled at the political maneuvering needed to do that. To many in Romania, Russia is near and strong, America far and indecisive. This was pointed out to me at one meeting. I replied: “In the 20th Century, the United States has won three wars in Europe. How many have the Romanians won?”

 

The most remarkable thing about Romania and even Europe as a whole is that in spite of the historical reality that the United States wins European wars, there is a view of the United States that it is naive, unfocused and bumbling. This goes beyond this administration to every administration I can recall. And yet, it is the United States that decides the fate of Europe consistently.

 

The Romanians know this, but they still feel that the Russians are more clever and capable than the United States. I think the reason is that the Russians move with enormous subtlety and complexity. They do this to compensate for their weakness. The United States operates more simply. It can afford to; it is playing from strength. For now, the Romanians accept this, but their acceptance is fragile. It depends on political consistency on the part of the United States, but with great distance come options and the ability to change one’s mind. Romania is here and can’t go elsewhere. It can only change alliances and hope for the best, something both sides need to consider.

______________________________

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Borderlands: First Moves in Romania is republished with permission of Stratfor.”

 

Copyright © 2014 Stratfor | 221 West 6th Street Suite 400 – Austin, TX 78701, USA

George Friedman is the Chairman of Stratfor, a company he founded in 1996 that is now a leader in the field of global intelligence.  Friedman guides Stratfor’s strategic vision and oversees the development and training of the company’s intelligence unit.

 

Dr. Friedman is the author of The New York Times best-seller The Next Decade, which forecasts the major events and challenges that will test America and its presidents over the course of the next decade. Dr. Friedman’s previous book, The Next 100 Years, was also a New York Times best-seller and was published in over 20 languages. His other books on warfare and intelligence include America’s Secret War, The Future of War and The Intelligence Edge.

 

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