Blog Archives
What Will be the Outcome of the Arab Spring?
John R. Houk
© April 1, 2011
Have heard of the Prague Spring? Unless or you are a history major in college or over 50 you probably have not heard of this grassroots uprising in old Czechoslovakia (Now divided into the Czech Republic and Slovakia).
In 1968 Alexander Dubcek became President of Czechoslovakia after the nation hand gone through a severe recession. Czechoslovakia was a Warsaw Pact nation of the Stalinist-Communist Soviet Empire. Those were still Cold War days of the Soviet Union and Communist East European satellite nations vs. the American-NATO-European alliance.
The previous Czechoslovakian President was deposed by the Communist Party and was replaced by Dubcek. Dubcek was no capitalist however he was sick of Stalinist style Soviet repression. Dubcek thus instituted a freedom of conscience and press in Czechoslovakia. Dubcek’s difficulty was the Soviet Empire was governed by an old fashioned Stalinist leader. On August 20, 1968 the Soviet Union with a number of other Soviet bloc nations invaded Czechoslovakia ending a micro-moment of freedom and the deposing of Dubcek, a number of Dubcek-supporting members of the Communist Party and a number of citizens that were prominent and supported Dubcek’s Prague Spring. It was the end of a freedom revolution and a return to despotism for Czechoslovakians.
I don’t know what the Muslim press is calling the grassroots uprisings across North Africa and the Muslim Middle East, but the Western Press is calling these uprisings the “Arab Spring.” Will this Arab Spring bring democratic reforms across Muslim dominated lands? Will the Arab Spring end in failure for grassroots interests with a return to some kind of Islamic despotism? Will the Arab Spring exchange megalomaniac dictators for Islamist theo-political repression instituting all of the harshness of Sharia Law as espoused by Mohammed and the four following “Rightly Guided” Caliphs?
These are the questions the Obama Administration must ask with the American entanglement in Libya. I still believe it is an excellent idea to not only rid Libya of Moammar Qaddafi but also to rid the world of the mad dog. However, with the continuing evidence beginning to pile up that the Libyan rebels are Islamist and/or al Qaeda supporters the Obama Administration needs to find the correct answers for the difficult questions.
JRH 4/1/11
Saudi Gulf Nations Preparing to Send Militaries to Bahrain
John R. Houk
© March 14, 2011
Bahrain is a near microscopic dot on the map that otherwise might be thought of as Saudi territory. Bahrain is a micro-Sheikdom with oil wealth and the port of the U.S. Navy 5th Fleet.
Little tiny Bahrain has been besieged by Shi’ites in their tiny island nation who have revolted over the absolute monarchy (officially constitutional but you know…) that controls the government and which is a Sunni royal family. The unrest in Bahrain is not new but the recent intensity is undoubtedly a manifestation of Muslim unrest that began in Tunisia and spread across the Maghreb and the Muslim Middle East to change the old regimes to a more Ummah (Islamic Community) oriented government for the people.
The difference in the unrest in Bahrain than in other grassroots Islamic revolts is that it has more to do with the majority Shi’ite have-nots unhappy with their existence as opposed to the privileged Sunni minority haves that are well off. Since this is a Shia vs. Sunni thing in Bahrain, who do you think might possibly use the unrest as a platform to flex muscles against its Sunni competitor? Yep, that would be Iran. This is especially the case since Arab Peninsula nations are preparing to send military assistance to tiny Bahrain in the form of troops with the big dog being Saudi Arabia.
JRH 3/14/11

